Publications

Journal articles, books, edited volumes, and policy papers on Eastern European politics, EU democracy promotion, and international sanctions.

Journal Articles, Books & Edited Volumes

Selected

2026

Leukavets, V. (2026). A comparative analysis of the geopolitical orientations of Belarusian elites in the aftermath of 2020 and 2022. East European Politics.

2025

Leukavets, V. (2025). Belarus-EU relations: analyzing development phases and evaluating EU policy effectiveness. In A. Kazharski (ed.), Handbook of Contemporary Belarus, Routledge.

2023

Leukavets, V. (2023). The Integration Policies of Belarus and Ukraine vis-à-vis the EU and Russia: A Comparative Analysis Through the Prism of a Two-Level Game Approach. Ibidem Press & Columbia University Press. ISBN: 978-3-8382-1247-0.

Leukavets, V., A. Makarychev, and G. Beridze (2023). Electoral campaigns in times of lockdown: post-soviet experiences. Europe-Asia Studies 75.4: 545–563.

2021

Leukavets, V. (2021). Russia's game in Belarus: 2020 presidential elections as a checkmate for Lukashenka?. New Perspectives 29.1: 90–101.

Policy Papers

Selected

2026

Leukavets, V. (2026). Hostages of diplomacy: how the Belarusian regime turns political prisoners into strategic currency. Platform RAAM.

Leukavets, V. (2026). Cracking the CRINK: Belarus's Relations with Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea. Tsikhanouskaya.org.

Leukavets, V. (2026). 40 years after Chernobyl – Belarus in the middle of the nuclear risk zone. PerspektivOst.

Leukavets, V. (2026). Belarus-Russia Relations After 2020: Subordination Through Integration. Italian Institute for International Political Studies (ISPI).

Leukavets, V. (2026). The future of Belarus: sanctions, Russia and power struggle. PerspektivOst.

Leukavets, V. (2026). The EU's Eastern Neighborhood in 2026: Key Trends to Follow. Case of Belarus. DGAP Think-Tank Network.

2025

Leukavets, V. (2025). The European Offer for Democratic Belarus: A Strategic Agenda for the EU. SCEEUS Report No 7.

Leukavets, V. (2025). The Farce of the 2025 Belarusian Elections: Power, Repression, and the Struggle for Legitimacy. SCEEUS Report No 1.

2024

Leukavets, V. (2024). Lukashenka's Political Manoeuvre: Decoding the Significance of Prisoner Releases. SCEEUS Commentary.

Leukavets, V. (2024). A democratic movement in exile: lessons from Belarus. RAAM.

Leukavets, V. (2024). The future of Belarus without Lukashenka and its implications for stability of the Baltic and Nordic regions. Belarus Research Network.

Leukavets, V. (2024). It is high time for the West to think about Belarus. Diplomaatia, ICDS and SCEEUS.

Leukavets, V. and R. Turarbekava (2024). Analysing European perspective for democratic Belarus: views from experts and Belarusian democratic forces. IDSMBee.

2023

Leukavets, V. and A. Umland (2023). How Europe and the EU should change to speed up integration. TEPSA.

Leukavets, V. (2023). EU is vital to Belarus's democratic transformation. Open Democracy.

Leukavets, V. (2023). The Role of Belarus in the Kremlin-Wagner Clash and Its Implications for the Stability of the Lukashenka Regime. SCEEUS Quick Comment.

Leukavets, V. and A. Golts (2023). Putin Raises Nuclear Stakes. SCEEUS Quick Comment.

Leukavets, V., A. Umland, A. Golts and C. Rodhe (2023). Putin's Address: First Impressions. SCEEUS Quick Comment.

Leukavets, V. and A. Golts (2023). Is Belarus Creating an Equivalent of Russia's Wagner Group and Can It Become a Serious Threat for Ukraine?. SCEEUS Quick Comment.

2022

Leukavets, V. (2022). Putin's Visit to Belarus: Will Lukashenka Join Russia's War in Ukraine?. SCEEUS Quick Comment.

Leukavets, V. (2022). EU Sanctions Against Belarus in 2020–2022: Time for a Reappraisal. SCEEUS Report No. 7.

Leukavets, V. (2022). The Role of Belarus in the Ukrainian Crisis. Focus Ukraine, Kennan Institute.

Leukavets, V. (2022). Analysis of the 2020-2021 post-election protest movement in Belarus. Kennan Cable No 74.

2021

Leukavets, V. (2021). Belarusian IT Sector a Crucial Actor in the Fight against the Lukashenko Regime. Kennan Institute.

2020

Leukavets, V. (2020). Election observation of the 2020 presidential elections in Belarus. Aleksanteri Institute.

Leukavets, V. (2020). Belarus: COVID-19 as a trigger of democratization?. PONARS Eurasia Commentary.