Publications

Journal articles, books, edited volumes, and policy papers on Eastern European politics, EU democracy promotion, and international sanctions.

Journal Articles, Books & Edited Volumes

Selected

2026

Leukavets, V. (2026). A comparative analysis of the geopolitical orientations of Belarusian elites in the aftermath of 2020 and 2022. East European Politics.

2025

Leukavets, V. (2025). Belarus-EU relations: analyzing development phases and evaluating EU policy effectiveness. In A. Kazharski (ed.) Handbook of Contemporary Belarus, Routledge.

2023

Leukavets, V. (2023). The Integration Policies of Belarus and Ukraine vis-à-vis the EU and Russia: A Comparative Analysis Through the Prism of a Two-Level Game Approach. Ibidem Press and Columbia University Press. ISBN: 9783838212470.

2023

Leukavets, V., A. Makarychev, and G. Beridze (2023). Electoral campaigns in times of lockdown: post-soviet experiences. Europe-Asia Studies 75.4: 545–563.

2021

Leukavets, V. (2021). Russia's game in Belarus: 2020 presidential elections as a checkmate for Lukashenka? New Perspectives, 29.1: 90–101.


Policy Papers

Selected

2026

Leukavets, V. (2026). Hostages of diplomacy: how the Belarusian regime turns political prisoners into strategic currency.

Platform RAAM

Leukavets, V. (2026). Cracking the CRINK: Belarus's Relations with Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea.

Tsikhanouskaya.org

Leukavets, V. (2026). 40 years after Chernobyl – Belarus in the middle of the nuclear risk zone. PerspektivOst.

PerspektivOst

Leukavets, V. (2026). Belarus-Russia Relations After 2020: Subordination Through Integration. Italian Institute for International Political Studies (ISPI).

ISPI

Leukavets, V. (2026). The future of Belarus: sanctions, Russia and power struggle. PerspektivOst.

PerspektivOst

Leukavets, V. (2026). The EU's Eastern Neighborhood in 2026: Key Trends to Follow. Case of Belarus. DGAP Think-Tank Network.

EaP Think Tanks

2025

Leukavets, V. (2025). The European Offer for Democratic Belarus: A Strategic Agenda for the EU. SCEEUS Report No 7.

PDF — SCEEUS

Leukavets, V. (2025). The Farce of the 2025 Belarusian Elections: Power, Repression, and the Struggle for Legitimacy. SCEEUS Report No 1.

SCEEUS

2024

Leukavets, V. (2024). Lukashenka's Political Manoeuvre: Decoding the Significance of Prisoner Releases. SCEEUS Commentary.

SCEEUS

Leukavets, V. (2024). A democratic movement in exile: lessons from Belarus. RAAM.

Platform RAAM

Leukavets, V. (2024). The future of Belarus without Lukashenka and its implications for stability of the Baltic and Nordic regions. Belarus Research Network.

PDF

Leukavets, V. (2024). It is high time for the West to think about Belarus. Diplomaatia, ICDS and SCEEUS.

ICDS

Leukavets, V. and R. Turarbekava (2024). Analysing European perspective for democratic Belarus: views from experts and Belarusian democratic forces. IDSMBee.

IDSMBee

2023

Leukavets, V. and A. Umland (2023). How Europe and the EU should change to speed up integration. TEPSA.

TEPSA

Leukavets, V. (2023). EU is vital to Belarus's democratic transformation. Open Democracy.

Open Democracy

Leukavets, V. (2023). The Role of Belarus in the Kremlin-Wagner Clash and Its Implications for the Stability of the Lukashenka Regime. SCEEUS Quick Comment.

SCEEUS

Leukavets, V. and A. Golts (2023). Putin Raises Nuclear Stakes. SCEEUS Quick Comment.

SCEEUS

Leukavets, V., A. Umland, A. Golts and C. Rodhe (2023). Putin's Address: First Impressions. SCEEUS Quick Comment.

SCEEUS

Leukavets, V. and A. Golts (2023). Is Belarus Creating an Equivalent of Russia's Wagner Group and Can It Become a Serious Threat for Ukraine? SCEEUS Quick Comment.

SCEEUS

2022

Leukavets, V. (2022). Putin's Visit to Belarus: Will Lukashenka Join Russia's War in Ukraine? SCEEUS Quick Comment.

SCEEUS

Leukavets, V. (2022). EU Sanctions Against Belarus in 2020–2022: Time for a Reappraisal. SCEEUS Report No. 7.

SCEEUS

Leukavets, V. (2022). The Role of Belarus in the Ukrainian Crisis. Focus Ukraine, Kennan Institute.

Wilson Center

Leukavets, V. (2022). Analysis of the 2020-2021 post-election protest movement in Belarus. Kennan Cable No 74.

Wilson Center

2021

Leukavets, V. (2021). Belarusian IT Sector a Crucial Actor in the Fight against the Lukashenko Regime. Kennan Institute.

Wilson Center

2020

Leukavets, V. (2020). Election observation of the 2020 presidential elections in Belarus. Aleksanteri Institute.

Aleksanteri Institute

Leukavets, V. (2020). Belarus: COVID-19 as a trigger of democratization? PONARS Eurasia Commentary.

PONARS Eurasia